Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
CAT
0 - 0
CES
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
CES
1 - 2
PIS
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ATL
0 - 0
CES
63%
24%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
PIS
1 - 1
MOD
56%
27%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
TAR
0 - 1
MOD
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |