Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1987 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
CES
3 - 0
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CAG
0 - 1
LEC
44%
31%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
4 - 1
USC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
LAZ
0 - 0
LEC
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |