Cesena vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
MAG
3 - 0
CES
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
COM
1 - 1
CES
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
CES
0 - 2
SPA
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
TER
1 - 2
CES
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
TOR
1 - 1
CES
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 2
TER
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FCC
3 - 2
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
REG
1 - 2
FCC
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1976 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOV
54%
28%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |