Cesena vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
CES
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
EMP
1 - 2
CES
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CES
3 - 0
AVE
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CTT
1 - 2
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
CTT
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CTT
5 - 1
VER
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CTT
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 0
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |