Cesena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
VNZ
1 - 0
CES
49%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
CES
1 - 0
PAL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 0
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
CES
2 - 1
FIA
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
PIS
1 - 0
ANC
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
ANC
3 - 0
USF
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ASL
3 - 1
ANC
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
ANC
4 - 2
REG
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
ANC
1 - 0
PAL
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |