AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 0
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
BEL
5 - 1
LAC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 4
YOB
46%
25%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 0
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
SER
3 - 2
FCA
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |