AC Bellinzona vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 2
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ZUR
5 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCL
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SIO
1 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 5
YOB
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BIE
3 - 1
BAS
14%
20%
66%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |