SS Arezzo vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 1
OLB
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
ARZ
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ACP
61%
23%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
TRI
86%
11%
3%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 3
LAZ
7%
18%
76%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 4
VER
5%
13%
81%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
VIR
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
ABA
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |