SS Arezzo vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 0
ARZ
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 0
ARZ
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 1
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARZ
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 0
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LRO
3 - 0
SIE
12%
21%
68%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 0
PON
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
USF
6 - 1
SIE
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
4 - 2
SIE
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |