SS Arezzo vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
ARZ
14%
23%
63%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 3
ACS
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
ARZ
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FLA
80%
15%
6%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 4
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
4 - 2
PIA
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 0
ASD
57%
21%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 0
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 0
PIA
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |