SS Arezzo vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RCR
1 - 1
ARZ
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USC
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 1
ARZ
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TUT
0 - 3
ARZ
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 2
SIE
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
REN
0 - 0
LIV
18%
25%
58%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 1
GER
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LIV
3 - 1
OLB
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |