SS Arezzo vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SPE
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 1
TRI
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 1
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 2
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 2
RIM
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
3 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |