SS Arezzo vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
19%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
ARZ
3 - 0
ASS
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
SOR
0 - 0
ARZ
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
COM
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1972 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARZ
60%
26%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TER
43%
30%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
CES
1 - 1
PAL
46%
31%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
NOV
2 - 2
CES
55%
29%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
41%
32%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
REG
1 - 1
CES
58%
28%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
SOR
0 - 1
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |