Abu Salim vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
19%
34.5%
Draw
0-0
19.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
34.5%
38.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
-31%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 100% |
| Final season | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 0% |
ELO progression
TRI
ASS
ITT
ASY
ASC
SHD
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abu Salim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO ASS | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 1
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
150 | 150 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
AOZ
0 - 1
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
149 | 149 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 0
AMT
46%
27%
27%
|
150 | 150 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
AST
0 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
28%
|
146 | 98 | -48 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
146 | 147 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO TRI | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 1
ALK
46%
27%
26%
|
230 | 150 | 80 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
TRI
41%
28%
31%
|
229 | 151 | -78 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 2
ALA
46%
27%
26%
|
229 | 150 | 79 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 0
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
233 | 143 | 90 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AOZ
0 - 0
TRI
41%
28%
31%
|
231 | 152 | -79 | 0 |