Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
ABE
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 4
CAR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
85%
11%
5%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
MER
90%
8%
3%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
36%
24%
40%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 0
VIK
33%
23%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |