Aberystwyth Town vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
ABE
6 - 2
NEA
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 2
NEW
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 0
ABE
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 2
LLA
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TNS
2 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
LLA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
WEL
1 - 3
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
RHY
5 - 0
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |