Welsh Premier League Primera Fase. Jor. 4

Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis

Aberystwyth Town Llanelli Town AFC
59 ELO 48
18.2% Tilt 9.5%
3371º General ELO ranking 4173º
19º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
68.8%
Aberystwyth Town
17.5%
Draw
13.7%
Llanelli Town AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
Aberystwyth Town
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.7%
Win probability
Llanelli Town AFC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberystwyth Town
-6%
-4%
Llanelli Town AFC

ELO progression

Aberystwyth Town
Llanelli Town AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberystwyth Town
Aberystwyth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2018
WEL
Welshpool Town FC
1 - 3
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
38%
22%
40%
57 59 2 0
24 Aug. 2018
CON
Connah's Quay
2 - 1
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
59%
23%
18%
58 67 9 -1
17 Aug. 2018
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
1 - 4
Cardiff MU
CAR
51%
25%
24%
59 60 1 -1
10 Aug. 2018
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
1 - 0
Llandudno FC
LLA
61%
21%
17%
57 53 4 +2
27 Jul. 2018
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
0 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
84%
12%
5%
56 37 19 +1

Matches

Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2018
HAV
Haverfordwest County
3 - 0
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
19%
20%
61%
51 42 9 0
24 Aug. 2018
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
1 - 1
Barry Town
BAR
37%
28%
35%
51 59 8 0
18 Aug. 2018
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
2 - 3
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
60%
21%
19%
50 58 8 +1
12 Aug. 2018
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
0 - 7
Connah's Quay
CON
27%
28%
45%
50 65 15 0
12 May. 2018
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
1 - 3
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
23%
22%
55%
49 39 10 +1
X