League Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAL
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
ABE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
HAV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 4
LLA
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
4 - 0
AIR
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
HAV
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |