Aberystwyth Town vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
24
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAA
0 - 0
ABE
5%
11%
85%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 0
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
FLI
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 1
FLI
8%
16%
76%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
PEN
36%
26%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
6 - 2
FLI
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |