Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
44
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 4
BAL
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 2
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 4
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |