Aberffraw vs Llanrug United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberffraw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 5
PEN
10%
16%
75%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Llanrug United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LLW
1 - 0
LLU
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 1
LLU
82%
11%
6%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 2
LLU
38%
23%
40%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LLU
2 - 3
CAE
8%
15%
78%
|
8 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LLU
0 - 5
WES
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | -1 |