Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HIB
2 - 0
ABE
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 2
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 1
HOM
41%
29%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 1
ABE
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GLA
0 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
STJ
3 - 1
FAL
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
STJ
1 - 2
GLA
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 2
STJ
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |