Cup Winners Cup 1/16

Global 5-3

Aberdeen vs Marek analysis

Aberdeen Marek
83 ELO 74
2.9% Tilt -0.6%
496º General ELO ranking 3086º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
71%
Aberdeen
16.2%
Draw
12.8%
Marek

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
Aberdeen
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.8%
Win probability
Marek
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-12%
-15%
Marek

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Marek
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 1978
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
39%
27%
34%
83 76 7 0
16 Sep. 1978
GLA
Rangers
1 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
49%
25%
26%
83 81 2 0
13 Sep. 1978
MAR
Marek
3 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
37%
24%
39%
83 74 9 0
09 Sep. 1978
ABE
Aberdeen
4 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
74%
17%
10%
83 68 15 0
02 Sep. 1978
ABE
Aberdeen
4 - 0
Livingston
LIV
87%
9%
4%
83 59 24 0

Matches

Marek
Marek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 1978
MAR
Marek
2 - 1
Slavia Sofia
SSO
52%
25%
23%
74 78 4 0
17 Sep. 1978
CHB
Chernomoretz Burgas
4 - 0
Marek
MAR
53%
25%
23%
75 73 2 -1
13 Sep. 1978
MAR
Marek
3 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
37%
24%
39%
74 83 9 +1
09 Sep. 1978
MAR
Marek
3 - 2
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
51%
25%
24%
74 75 1 0
02 Sep. 1978
SLI
Sliven
1 - 1
Marek
MAR
48%
26%
26%
74 71 3 0