SPL Title Play-off Round 2

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
77 ELO 75
-13.6% Tilt -11.4%
492º General ELO ranking 525º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
45.2%
Aberdeen
26.3%
Draw
28.5%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.5%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-5%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2006
GLA
Rangers
1 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
65%
20%
15%
77 83 6 0
08 Apr. 2006
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
40%
27%
33%
76 78 2 +1
01 Apr. 2006
ICT
Inverness CT
0 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
54%
25%
21%
76 76 0 0
25 Mar. 2006
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 2
Motherwell
MHE
46%
27%
27%
75 75 0 +1
18 Mar. 2006
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 0
Livingston
LIV
64%
23%
14%
75 62 13 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2006
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
58%
23%
19%
76 83 7 0
09 Apr. 2006
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 4
Celtic
CEL
33%
24%
43%
76 83 7 0
05 Apr. 2006
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
54%
23%
23%
76 77 1 0
25 Mar. 2006
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
38%
26%
36%
76 71 5 0
18 Mar. 2006
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
66%
20%
14%
76 66 10 0