SPL Round 5

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
83 ELO 81
5.7% Tilt -2.4%
495º General ELO ranking 526º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Aberdeen
23.4%
Draw
21.1%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-7%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1972
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
38%
27%
36%
83 74 9 0
15 Jan. 1972
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 0
Rangers
GLA
52%
24%
25%
83 83 0 0
08 Jan. 1972
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
45%
25%
30%
83 74 9 0
03 Jan. 1972
ABE
Aberdeen
4 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
52%
24%
25%
83 82 1 0
01 Jan. 1972
DUN
Dundee
1 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
52%
25%
23%
83 83 0 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1972
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 4
Partick Thistle
PAR
63%
20%
17%
82 76 6 0
15 Jan. 1972
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
58%
21%
21%
81 80 1 +1
08 Jan. 1972
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
67%
19%
14%
81 75 6 0
03 Jan. 1972
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
28%
27%
45%
81 69 12 0
01 Jan. 1972
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
65%
19%
15%
81 75 6 0