SPL Round 8

Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

Aberdeen Heart of Midlothian
77 ELO 81
-12.5% Tilt -13.3%
495º General ELO ranking 472º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.3%
Aberdeen
28.2%
Draw
34.5%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.4%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-5%
+11%
Heart of Midlothian

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2006
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
35%
29%
37%
77 67 10 0
09 Sep. 2006
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Celtic
CEL
29%
25%
46%
78 83 5 -1
26 Aug. 2006
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
59%
24%
17%
78 68 10 0
19 Aug. 2006
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
41%
29%
30%
78 72 6 0
12 Aug. 2006
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
53%
25%
22%
77 74 3 +1

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2006
ALL
Alloa Athletic
0 - 4
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
17%
24%
59%
81 46 35 0
17 Sep. 2006
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
42%
26%
32%
81 72 9 0
14 Sep. 2006
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 2
Sparta Praha
SPA
49%
25%
26%
81 82 1 0
09 Sep. 2006
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
67%
21%
12%
82 71 11 -1
26 Aug. 2006
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
4 - 1
Inverness CT
ICT
56%
24%
20%
82 77 5 0