SPL Round 8

Aberdeen vs Falkirk analysis

Aberdeen Falkirk
82 ELO 75
5.5% Tilt -6.9%
495º General ELO ranking 436º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.3%
Aberdeen
18.9%
Draw
13.9%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
Aberdeen
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-7%
-1%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 1972
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
59%
21%
20%
83 80 3 0
15 Apr. 1972
CLY
Clyde
0 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
31%
28%
41%
83 69 14 0
08 Apr. 1972
ABE
Aberdeen
7 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
71%
17%
11%
83 70 13 0
01 Apr. 1972
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
47%
27%
26%
83 83 0 0
25 Mar. 1972
ABE
Aberdeen
4 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
65%
20%
14%
83 78 5 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 1972
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
60%
23%
17%
74 71 3 0
15 Apr. 1972
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
58%
23%
19%
75 83 8 -1
08 Apr. 1972
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
52%
25%
23%
74 77 3 +1
01 Apr. 1972
EAS
East Fife
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
44%
27%
29%
74 65 9 0
29 Mar. 1972
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
56%
24%
20%
73 75 2 +1