SPL Round 3

Aberdeen vs Falkirk analysis

Aberdeen Falkirk
78 ELO 66
6.7% Tilt 3.7%
498º General ELO ranking 442º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
75%
Aberdeen
14.8%
Draw
10.2%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
Aberdeen
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.2%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-9%
-5%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 1954
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
44%
21%
35%
78 83 5 0
13 Nov. 1954
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
45%
23%
32%
77 70 7 +1
06 Nov. 1954
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
77%
14%
9%
77 65 12 0
30 Oct. 1954
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
54%
21%
25%
78 75 3 -1
23 Oct. 1954
ABE
Aberdeen
4 - 1
East Fife
EAS
52%
22%
26%
77 81 4 +1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 1954
FAL
Falkirk
5 - 3
Kilmarnock
KIL
65%
18%
17%
66 66 0 0
13 Nov. 1954
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 3
Rangers
GLA
39%
23%
38%
66 83 17 0
06 Nov. 1954
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
5 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
78%
13%
9%
67 83 16 -1
30 Oct. 1954
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
70%
17%
13%
68 79 11 -1
23 Oct. 1954
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
61%
19%
19%
68 69 1 0