Aberdeen vs East Fife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 1
ABE
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
HIB
1 - 2
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
HOM
5 - 0
ABE
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
EAS
6 - 0
STE
55%
23%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 1
FOR
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PET
2 - 2
EAS
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EAS
4 - 1
ALL
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DUM
4 - 1
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |