SPL Round 8

Aberdeen vs Dumbarton analysis

Aberdeen Dumbarton
64 ELO 70
-19.5% Tilt -5.9%
496º General ELO ranking 4021º
Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Aberdeen
26.1%
Draw
35.4%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aberdeen
-7%
+27%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Aberdeen
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 1917
GLA
Rangers
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
84%
11%
5%
65 83 18 0
24 Feb. 1917
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
75%
16%
10%
66 74 8 -1
17 Feb. 1917
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
61%
23%
16%
66 59 7 0
10 Feb. 1917
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
80%
14%
7%
67 83 16 -1
03 Feb. 1917
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Rangers
GLA
17%
22%
61%
65 83 18 +2

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 1917
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
66%
18%
16%
70 70 0 0
24 Feb. 1917
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
55%
22%
24%
69 76 7 +1
17 Feb. 1917
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 3
Rangers
GLA
48%
23%
29%
69 83 14 0
10 Feb. 1917
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
60%
20%
20%
70 67 3 -1
03 Feb. 1917
DUM
Dumbarton
4 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
33%
23%
44%
69 83 14 +1