Aberdeen vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
12º
11º
10
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 56 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 53 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 47 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 46 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 45 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 45 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 44 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 41 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 39 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
15% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
27.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
72.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 3
IPS
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ABE
2 - 0
COV
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
35%
22%
43%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 1
ABE
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 0
STM
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 1
CEL
30%
22%
48%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
5 - 1
CEL
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
CEL
4 - 0
NEW
19%
20%
61%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
SCP
0 - 2
CEL
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |