Aberbargoed Buds vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
RIS
2 - 3
ABE
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
ABE
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
4 - 5
LID
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ABE
4 - 0
TAF
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +6 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 2
LID
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 3
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
BRI
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 2
TAF
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GOY
5 - 0
BRI
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -3 |