Aber Valley FC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
84.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aber Valley FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CKS
1 - 5
ABF
19%
19%
63%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
9 - 0
ABF
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 57 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PTA
0 - 2
ABF
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
TAF
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 0
GOY
83%
13%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 2
ABE
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
BAR
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |