Abejar vs San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
56.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+391%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 0
ABE
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAL
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LAN
4 - 1
ABE
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
2 - 2
ARC
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ABE
5 - 4
VIS
84%
10%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
EST
3 - 2
VAL
53%
20%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
QUI
3 - 2
EST
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
LAN
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 2
EST
20%
19%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
EST
4 - 0
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |