Abejar vs Castroviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GOL
4 - 0
ABE
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 3
VIS
16%
19%
65%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
ABE
59%
20%
21%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
PIQ
34%
23%
43%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
NAV
52%
20%
27%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
TAR
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
VAL
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
5 - 1
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARC
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |