Abdish-Ada vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abdish-Ada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ABD
3 - 0
YKK
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
ABD
3 - 2
DBI
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
FKA
1 - 1
ABD
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ABD
0 - 0
ALG
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
DBI
4 - 0
ABD
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 1
NEF
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
FKA
0 - 2
NEF
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 1
ALG
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NEF
0 - 4
DBI
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
YKK
0 - 3
NEF
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |