ABC vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
3 - 4
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAN
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 2
CRZ
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLU
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1972 |
VIT
2 - 0
VAS
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
FLA
1 - 0
VIT
66%
19%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |