ABC vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 0
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 1
ABC
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
ABC
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
ASS
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
SPC
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |