ABC vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ABC
4 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 2
ATP
18%
22%
59%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ACD
3 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 2
ABC
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ABC
3 - 1
ASS
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACD
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 3
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 4
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ACD
3 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |