ABC vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
ABC
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 1
ABC
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
ABC
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 0
ABC
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
ABC
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAY
2 - 3
SAL
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAY
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 2
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
CRB
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |