ABC vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 2
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 0
GRÊ
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 1
ABC
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 3
CRI
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIL
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
ARN
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |