Série B Brazil Round 9

ABC vs Ipatinga FC analysis

ABC Ipatinga FC
60 ELO 71
3.6% Tilt -4%
1584º General ELO ranking 4341º
55º Country ELO ranking 146º
ELO win probability
33.2%
ABC
27.5%
Draw
39.2%
Ipatinga FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
ABC
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.2%
Win probability
Ipatinga FC
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ABC
-4%
-8%
Ipatinga FC

ELO progression

ABC
Ipatinga FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2009
ATL
Atlético GO
2 - 0
ABC
ABC
70%
18%
12%
61 68 7 0
21 Jun. 2009
ARN
América RN
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
49%
25%
25%
61 61 0 0
13 Jun. 2009
ABC
ABC
1 - 0
Vila Nova
VIL
44%
26%
31%
61 63 2 0
07 Jun. 2009
BAH
Bahía
4 - 0
ABC
ABC
64%
21%
15%
61 68 7 0
27 May. 2009
ABC
ABC
2 - 1
Fortaleza EC
FOR
39%
27%
34%
61 67 6 0

Matches

Ipatinga FC
Ipatinga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2009
IFC
Ipatinga FC
0 - 1
Fortaleza EC
FOR
60%
23%
18%
72 67 5 0
21 Jun. 2009
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Ipatinga FC
IFC
48%
26%
26%
72 68 4 0
10 Jun. 2009
IFC
Ipatinga FC
0 - 3
Portuguesa
POR
46%
26%
28%
72 77 5 0
03 Jun. 2009
BRA
RB Bragantino
1 - 1
Ipatinga FC
IFC
45%
27%
28%
72 67 5 0
30 May. 2009
IFC
Ipatinga FC
5 - 1
Campinense
CAM
81%
14%
5%
72 50 22 0