ABC vs Imperatriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
21%
25%
53%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 0
ABC
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
CAM
56%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASS
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ABC
18%
25%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 0
QUI
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
IMP
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
0 - 0
SAL
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
2 - 2
COR
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
IMP
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |