ABC vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
61.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ABC
6 - 0
GLO
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
POT
1 - 3
ABC
6%
16%
78%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ABC
5 - 1
POT
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
ABC
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 3
ABC
10%
18%
71%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 1
UNI
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
FOR
9%
20%
71%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
SER
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
CAM
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAU
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |