ABC vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 1
ABC
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 0
ABC
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 0
OES
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
ABC
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
ABC
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 3
AVA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 0
ICA
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
JEC
3 - 1
FFL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 1
FFL
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |