ABC vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
ABC
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
CRI
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
ABC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 0
NAU
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
ABC
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 3
GRÊ
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
DUQ
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
NAU
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 2
DUQ
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
PPE
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |