ABC vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
RIV
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
REM
1 - 1
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
ABC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
GAM
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ABC
0 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 2
ARN
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 0
CUI
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CUI
0 - 0
SAL
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
CUI
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CUI
3 - 0
CON
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |