ABC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
67%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
ABC
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 0
ITA
75%
17%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 6
ABC
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 1
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
COT
0 - 2
CEA
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 3
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |