ABC vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
ABC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 0
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 3
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 2
PAR
22%
25%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
CAM
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
4 - 2
FFL
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 1
CAM
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |