ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ABC
1 - 0
SGO
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FLA
4 - 0
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLA
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
2 - 2
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALE
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ALE
0 - 1
ARN
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 1
MEC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |